Download Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making by Derek J. Koehler, Nigel Harvey PDF

By Derek J. Koehler, Nigel Harvey

Книга Blackwell guide of Judgment and determination Making Blackwell instruction manual of Judgment and determination MakingКниги Бизнес книги Автор: Derek ok. Koehler, Nigel Harvey Год издания: 2004 Формат: pdf Издат.:Wiley-Blackwell Страниц: 680 Размер: 2,2 ISBN: 1405107464 Язык: Английский0 (голосов: zero) Оценка:The Blackwell guide of Judgment and selection Making is a state-of-the artwork evaluate of present subject matters and study within the learn of the way humans make reviews, draw inferences, and make judgements lower than stipulations of uncertainty and clash. comprises contributions via specialists from a number of disciplines that mirror present traits and controversies on judgment and selection making. offers a glimpse on the many ways which have been taken within the learn of judgment and selection making and portrays the main findings within the box. offers examinations of the wider roles of social, emotional, and cultural impacts on selection making. Explores functions of judgment and selection making study to big difficulties in various specialist contexts, together with finance, accounting, medication, public coverage, and the legislations.

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Extra resources for Blackwell Handbook of Judgment and Decision Making

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1993) Rationality and resoluteness: Review of “Rationality and dynamic choice: Foundational explorations,” by E. F. McClennan, Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 37, 143–53. Irwin, F. W. (1971) Intentional Behavior and Motivation: A Cognitive Theory. Philadelphia: Lippincott. Kahneman, D. & Tversky, A. (1979) Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk, Econometrica, 47, 263–91. Kaplow, L. & Shavell, S. (2002) Fairness Versus Welfare. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. Keeney, R.

8. If we make many different judgments at one time, or if our past judgments constrain our present judgments, these constraints can be very strong. These constraints do not determine a unique probability for any proposition, however. Reasonable people can still disagree. The two main rules here are additivity and multiplication. The rule concerning complements is a special case of additivity, simply defining the probability of a true proposition as 1. And the independence rule is a special case of the multiplication rule for the case in which the conditional probability and the unconditional probability are Normative Models of Judgment and Decision Making 29 the same.

E. (2003) From massive modularity to metarepresentation: The evolution of higher cognition. In D. E. ), Evolution and the Psychology of Thinking: The Debate. Hove, UK: Psychology Press. Over, D. E. & Green, D. W. (2001) Contingency, causation, and adaptive inference, Psychological Review, 108, 682–4. , & Tooby, J. (1999) When and why do people avoid unknown probabilities in decisions under uncertainty? Testing some predictions from optimal foraging theory, Cognition, 72, 269–304. , & Viale, R. (2002) On the reality of the conjunction fallacy, Memory & Cognition, 30(2), 191–8.

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